A few weeks ago, a friend asked on Twitter about the best candidate who had a chance to win their ward. This would be a slight deviation from pure endorsements (his example was that we know Jan Harder is winning in Barrhaven), but definitely with some overlap.
It’s a neat idea, but I kind of put it on the back burner while I took care of other stuff…but now with a bit of time, let’s give it a whirl. For fun, I’ve combined it with my predictions (which are, again, different), and I’ve included my endorsements for references. I’ve called the best candidate with a chance to win “Best Hope”. Also, I decided to be generous in terms of what constitutes having a chance.
Also, I’ve got a small bet on with a City Hall insider on predictions…so I better friggin’ be right. (Also, I hate doing predictions,)
|Ward 1: Orleans||Catherine Kitts||Mireille Brownhill||Mireille Brownhill|
|Ward 2: Innes||Laura Dudas||Laura Dudas||Laura Dudas|
|Ward 3: Barrhaven||Jan Harder||Franklin Epape||Jan Harder|
|Ward 4: Kanata North||Jenna Sudds||Jenna Sudds||Jenna Sudds|
|Ward 5: West Carleton-March||Eli El-Chantiri||Judi Varga-Toth||Judi Varga-Toth|
|Ward 6: The ‘Ville||Glen Gower||Glen Gower||Glen Gower|
|Ward 7: Bay||Theresa Kavanagh||Theresa Kavanagh||Theresa Kavanagh|
|Ward 8: College||Rick Chiarelli||Emilie Coyle||Emilie Coyle*|
|Ward 9: Knoxdale-Merivale||Keith Egli||Keith Egli||Keith Egli|
|Ward 10: Gloucester-Southgate||Diane Deans||Diane Deans||Diane Deans|
|Ward 11: Beacon Hill-Cyrville||Tim Tierney||Tim Tierney||Tim Tierney|
|Ward 12: Rideau-Vanier||Mathieu Fleury||Thierry Harris||Thierry Harris|
|Ward 13: Rideau-Rockliffe||Tobi Nussbaum||Tobi Nussbaum||Tobi Nussbaum|
|Ward 14: Somerset||Catherine McKenney||Catherine McKenney||Catherine McKenney|
|Ward 15: Kitchissippi||Jeff Leiper||Jeff Leiper||Jeff Leiper|
|Ward 16: River||Fabien Kalala Cimankinda||Fabien Kalala Cimankinda||Fabien Kalala Cimankinda|
|Ward 17: CANAL||Shawn Menard||Shawn Menard||Shawn Menard|
|Ward 18: Alta Vista||Raylene Lang-Dion||Raylene Lang-Dion||Raylene Lang-Dion|
|Ward 19: Cumberland||Stephen Blais||Weeping||Abandon hope all who enter|
|Ward 20: Osgoode||George Darouze||Kim Sheldrick||George Darouze|
|Ward 21: Rideau-Goulbourn||Scott Moffatt||Scott Moffatt||Scott Moffatt|
|Ward 22: Gloucester-South Nepean||Michael Qaqish||Zaff Ansari||Harpreet Singh|
|Ward 23: Kanata South||Allan Hubley||Allan Hubley||Allan Hubley|
|Mayor||Jim Watson||Clive Doucet||Jim Watson|
All right, get out your scorecards and let’s see how we do…and how bad council will be for the next four years.
*I don’t know if Emilie Coyle actually has a shot at unseating Chiarelli, but she’s run a damned good campaign, so she deserves the acknowledgement here.